5, the influence of ground fringe politics
In the factor that affects oil price, ground fringe politics is one of main factors that cannot ignore. In ground fringe politics, the home of main and petroliferous country produces the world revolution or commotion, middle east area erupts the war, especially the near future is terroristic of alive bound limits diffuse and aggravate, can produce main effect to oil price. The oil price that reviews nearly more than 30 years to come goes situation is not bad discovery, the major change that main and petroliferous country or politics of fringe of ground of middle east area produce the world, meet those who be mirrorred in oil price to go in situation.
6, congenial element
International is the congenial force with each oil the most active market to pouring fund of fund and other spec, because fund is opposite,the understanding of macroscopical and main area has " of " a person of foresight more deeply, so of the cash of fund and oil price go up drop between having first-rate dependency, although be below the influence that fund participates in, of the price go up drop to appear possibly excessive, but the tendercy that understands fund also is the key that holds prices.
7, the influence of relevant market
The influence of exchange rate. The fuel on international trades oilily to mark a price with the dollar commonly, and at present on international a few kinds of main moneys all execute floating rate to make, the case of international fuel oil price that marks a price with the dollar will naturally get the influence of exchange rate. The influence of interest rate. Interest rate is a of economy of governmental adjusting control important step, according to the change of interest rate, can know governmental economic policy, forecast what economy grows a case to evolve thereby, and its are affected to the demand of crude oil and fuel oil. So exchange rate market and interest rate market have the effect that comparative to oil price.
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